Thomas Gschwend

gschwendProf. Thomas Gschwend, Ph.D.
Office: A5, 6 Building C, Room 219
Address: University Mannheim
                   Political Science – Quantitative Methods
                   in the Social Sciences
                   D-68131 Mannheim
E-Mail: gschwend [at] uni-mannheim.de
Phone: +49 (0) 621 – 181 – 2087
Fax: +49 (0) 621 – 181 – 3699
Websitehttp://methods.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/

Curriculum Vitae
I am a Professor for Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences at the School of Social Sciences and a project director at the Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung (MZES), University of Mannheim. My substantive research focuses on electoral behavior, public opinion and comparative politics. I am interested in the processes by which electoral institutions pre-structure an individual’s decision-making process and its consequences for voters, party strategies and election outcomes. My current work draws on research in political behavior and electoral systems in comparative perspective in order to provide a micro-theory of how actors facing institutional constraints form expectations about the consequences of their behavior. Moreover, I am doing research in political psychology as well. My focus here is on the structure and functions of political attitudes and mass belief systems. I am also interested in political methodology, particularly in applying ecological inference models, item-response theory, Bayesian statistics and experimental design to substantive problems.

Publications (selected)

Articles

Gschwend, Thomas, Michael F. Meffert, and Lukas F. Stötzer. 2016. ” Weighting Parties and Coalitions: How Coalition Signals Influence Voting Behavior.” The Journal of Politics: forthcoming.

* Sternberg, Sebastian, Thomas Gschwend, Caroline E. Wittig, Benjamin G. Engst (2015): Zum Einfluss der öffentlichen Meinung auf Entscheidungen des Bundesverfassungsgerichts: Eine Analyse von abstrakten Normenkontrollen sowie Bund-Länder-Streitigkeiten 1974 – 2010. Politische Vierteljahresschrift 56 (4): 570-598.

Gschwend, Thomas, and Thomas Zittel. 2015. “Do constituency candidates matter in German Federal Elections? The personal vote as an interactive process.” Electoral Studies, 39: 338-349.

Stötzer, Lukas, Steffen Zittlau, Thomas Gschwend, undTobias Witt. 2015. “Leihstimmen im Bundestagswahljahr 2013.” Journal of Political Psychology, 4(1): 88-107.

Lo, James, Sven-Oliver Proksch, Thomas Gschwend (2014): A Common Left-Right Scale for Voters and Parties in Europe. Political Analysis 22 (2): 205-223. more

Norpoth, Helmut, Thomas Gschwend (2013): Chancellor Model Picks Merkel in 2013 German Election. Political Science & Politics 46 (3): 481-482. more

Meffert, Michael F., Sascha Huber, Thomas Gschwend, Franz Urban Pappi (2011): More than wishful thinking: Causes and consequences of voters’ electoral expectations about parties and coalitions. Electoral Studies 30 (4): 804-815. more

Meffert, Michael F., Thomas Gschwend (2011): Polls, coalition signals and strategic voting: An experimental investigation of perceptions and effects. European Journal of Political Research 50 (5): 636-667. more

Bräuninger, Thomas, Thomas Gschwend, Susumu Shikano (2010): Sachpolitik oder Parteipolitik? Eine Bestimmung des Parteidrucks im Bundesrat mittles bayesianischer Methoden. Politische Vierteljahresschrift 51 (2): 223-249. more

Hönnige, Christoph, Thomas Gschwend (2010): Das Bundesverfassungsgericht im politischen System der BRD – ein unbekanntes Wesen? Politische Vierteljahresschrift 51 (3): 507-530. more

Meffert, Michael F., Thomas Gschwend (2010): Strategic Coalition Voting: Evidence from Austria. Electoral Studies 29 (3): 339-349. more

Norpoth, Helmut, Thomas Gschwend (2010): The Chancellor Model: Forecasting German Elections. International Journal of Forecasting 26 (1): 42-53. more

Elff, Martin, Thomas Gschwend, Johnston Ron (2008): Ignoramus, Ignorabimus? On Uncertainty in Ecological Inference. Political Analysis 16 (1): 70-92. more

Gschwend, Thomas, Marc Hooghe (2008): Should I Stay or Should I Go? An Experimental Study on Voter Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. European Journal of Political Research, 47 (5): 556-577. more

Zittel, Thomas, Thomas Gschwend (2008): Individualised Constituency Campaigns in Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: Candidates in the 2005 German Elections. West European Politics 31 (5): 879-1003. more

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Berliner Abgeordnetenhauswahlen 1979 bis 2001: keine Testwahlen für die Bundesebene. Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen 38 (3): 531-540.more

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Institutional Incentives for Strategic Voting and Party System Change in Portugal. Portuguese Journal of Social Science 6 (1): 15-31. more

Gschwend, Thomas (2007): Ticket-splitting and strategic voting under mixed electoral rules: Evidence from Germany. European Journal of Political Research  46 (1): 1-23.more

Lavine, Howard, Thomas Gschwend (2007): Issues, Parties and Character: The Moderating Role of Ideological Thinking on Candidate Evaluation. British Journal of Political Science 37 (1): 139-163. more

Books

Monographs

Gschwend, Thomas (2004): Strategic Voting in Mixed-Electoral Systems. Reutlingen: SFG-Servicecenter Fachverlag. [Statistik und Wissenschaft; 2] more

Editions

Gschwend, Thomas, Frank Schimmelfennig (eds) (2007): Forschungsdesign in der Politikwissenschaft : Probleme – Strategien – Anwendungen. Frankfurt am Main: Campus.[Mannheimer Jahrbuch für Europäische Sozialforschung; 11] more

Gschwend, Thomas, Frank Schimmelfennig (eds) (2007): Research Design in Political Science: How to Practice What They Preach. Houndmills: Palgrave Macmillan. more

Behnke, Joachim, Thomas Gschwend, Delia Schindler, Kai-Uwe Schnapp (eds) (2006): Methoden der Politikwissenschaft. Neuere qualitative und quantitative Analyseverfahren. Baden-Baden: Nomos. more

Book Chapters (selected)

Bytzek, Evelyn, Thomas Gschwend, Sascha Huber, Eric Linhart, Michael F. Meffert (2012): Koalitionssignale und ihre Wirkungen auf Wahlentscheidungen. In: Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck (ed.): Wählen in Deutschland. Baden-Baden: Nomos: 393-418. more

Gschwend, Thomas, Thomas Zittel (2012): Machen Wahlkreiskandidaten einen Unterschied? Die Persönlichkeitswahl als interaktiver Prozess. In: Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck (ed.): Wählen in Deutschland. Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlag: 371-392. more

Hooghe, Marc, Sofie Marien, Thomas Gschwend (2011): Gathering Counter-Factual Evidence: An Experimental Study on Voters’ Responses to Pre-Electoral Coalitions. In: Bernhard Kittel, Wolfgang J. Luhan, Rebecca B. Morton (eds): Experimental Political Science: Principles and Practices. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan: 413-440. more

Meffert, Michael F., Thomas Gschwend (2011): Experimental Triangulation of Coalition Signals: Varying Designs, Converging Results. In: Bernhard Kittel, Wolfgang J. Luhan, Rebecca B. Morton (eds.): Experimental Political Science: Principles and Practices.Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan: 249-283. more

Blais, André, Thomas Gschwend (2010): Strategic Defection across Elections, Parties, and Voters. In: Christopher Anderson, Russell Dalton (eds): Citizens, Context, and Choice: How the Political Context Shapes Electoral Behavior. Oxford: Oxford University Press: 176-196. more

Gschwend, Thomas (2009): District Magnitude and the Comparative Study of Strategic Voting. In: Hans-Dieter Klingemann (ed.): The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems. Oxford: Oxford University Press: 289-307. more